Another war in the middle of Europe?
In order to understand how serious it is, I recommend to start by looking at the two videos below:
Militants had at their disposal armored vehicles, automatic weapons and explosives.
“The police operation is completed, the terrorists neutralized. It was about the most dangerous extremist grouping in the Balkans: it posed a danger to the entire region, ”said Ivo Kotevski, a representative of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Macedonia. The police evacuated part of about 70 thousand people of the city.
According to him, the group was led by Kosovo Albanians.
According to official figures, during the operation, which began on Saturday, eight policemen were killed, 37 were injured. In addition, 14 terrorists were killed..<...>
In 2001, insurgents demanding greater rights for the Albanian minority organized a revolt against the government of Macedonia. The escalation of the conflict was avoided by a peace agreement that guaranteed greater recognition for ethnic Albanians, but tensions remained.
The incident in Kumanovo occurred against the backdrop of protests against the government of Macedonia in Skopje itself.Demonstrators accuse the authorities of trying to conceal the death of a man in 2011.
As Napoleon Bonaparte said at the time? Is geography a sentence? This fully applies to Macedonia. This country borders, both with Kosovo, and with Albania, at which the construction of the “Great Albania” is almost the official doctrine. living in the territory of Macedonia. And this is 25% of the total population of Macedonia, i.e. just over 500 thousand out of 2 million people.
In addition to Kosovo and Albania, Greece’s neighbors of Macedonia are in the south and Serbia in the north, i.e. these are the countries through which the Turkish Stream is to pass soon. And Macedonia on this list is the weakest link, since already in 2001 there was an armed conflict between the Macedonian authorities and the Albanian illegal armed group "Army of National Liberation", which received support from Kosovo.The conflict ended with a conclusion in which Albanians received the broadest rights: the official status of the Albanian language, the amnesty of the rebels,Albanian police in Albanian areas, that is, in Macedonia in 2001 officially appeared areas that are not under the control of the authorities of this Balkan republic. Well, the head of the armed forces of the National Army of National Liberation became a respectable politician and the head of the Democratic Union for Integration party.A small nuance: until 2001, when Ali Ahmeti led the Albanian militants, he was in Switzerland in the status of political refugee. Anyone else have any questions on the "neutrality" of Switzerland?And since 2001, there has been very strong ethnic tension in Macedonia. Everything is like in Kosovo, even “better”, because the Macedonian Albanians have Hashim Tachi, who is near.
The descent for all processes in Macedonia was the event of April 7, 2015,. In other words, right after the correct explanatory work with the leadership of Macedonia did not succeed, they were already shown in some other way what alternatives the country has if it does not listen to American opinion.By the way, almost in parallel with the attack of the Albanian gang on Kumanovo, riots took place in the capital of Macedonia, actually organized by the leader of the Social Democratic Union of Macedonia, Zoran Zaev, who practically does not hide his close work with the Soros Foundation and the American Ambassador Jess Bailey.As a result of these unrest, 39 people were injured, of whom 38 were police officers.. Nothing like?
Against the background of all these events, so that they show restraint, because escalation is possible not only in Macedonia itself, but also in the whole region. The threat of transparency is difficult to imagine.
If you add all of the above, the situation for the authorities of Macedonia is very difficult: on one side of the scale is the “Turkish stream”, which will allow this one of the poorest countries in Europe (only Albania is poorer) to significantly improve their economic situation, but for this choice the Macedonians must be ready for blood and destruction here and now. On the other side of the scale is the refusal of the "Turkish stream", i.e. further poverty and deferred bloody conflict of the Macedonian authorities with the Albanians. Moreover, in the second case, Macedonia, it will definitely be a loser, because Kosovo with its finances (drug trafficking, transplantology) and weapons will stand behind the Albanians.And Macedonia will not help anyone. In the first case, there is some hope for countries interested in building the Turkish Stream, and this, in addition to Russia, is Greece, Turkey and Serbia. And the main focus is on Serbia and Turkey. The first one borders on Macedonia and may want to settle accounts with Albanians for Kosovo (the likelihood of this with the current Serbian government is small, but there is), and the second is planning to become one of the main beneficiaries from the new gas pipeline. And not only economically, but also politically. And for the realization of such desires must be able to fight.
It turns out that by redirecting the gas flow to Turkey, Russia shifted to it a significant part of the problems that now the Turkish leadership will also have to solve if it decided to declare its country as a regional power. You should be ready to answer for your words, and using the example of Macedonia we will see what Turkey’s ambitions really are.